Friday, 24 April 2020

H - HISTORY SINCE YEAR 1900,


For a small amount of perspective at this moment, imagine you were born in 1900. 

When you are 14, World War I starts, and ends on your 18th birthday with 22 million people killed. Later in the year, a Spanish Flu epidemic hits the planet and runs until you are 20. Fifty million people die from it in those two years. Yes, 50 million. 

When you're 29, the Great Depression begins. Unemployment hits 25%, global GDP drops 27%. That runs until you are 33. The country nearly collapses along with the world economy. 

When you turn 39, World War II starts. You aren’t even over the hill yet. When you're 41, the United States is fully pulled into WWII. Between your 39th and 45th birthday, 75 million people perish in the war and the Holocaust kills six million. 

At 52
, the Korean War starts and five million perish. 

At 64 the Vietnam War begins, and it doesn’t end for many years. Four million people die in that conflict. 

Approaching your 62nd birthday you have the Cuban Missile Crisis, a tipping point in the Cold War. Life on our planet, as we know it, could well have ended. Great leaders prevented that from happening. 

As you turn 75, the Vietnam War finally ends. 

Think of everyone on the planet born in 1900. How do you survive all of that? A kid in 1985 didn’t think their 85 year old grandparent understood how hard school was. Yet those grandparents (and now great grandparents) survived through everything listed above.

Perspective is an amazing art. 
Let’s try and keep things in perspective. Let’s be smart, help each other out, and we will get through all of this.” 

In the history of the world, there has never been a storm that lasted.

"This too, shall pass".

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During World War II, numerous fighter planes were getting hit by anti-aircraft guns.

Air Force officers wanted to add some protective armor/shield to the planes. 
The question was "where"?

The planes could only support few more kilos of weight. A group of mathematicians and engineers were called for a short consulting project.

Fighter planes returning from missions were analysed for bullet holes per square foot. They found 1.93 bullet holes/sq. foot near the tail of the planes whereas only 1.11 bullet holes/sq. foot close to the engine.

The Air Force officers thought that since the tail portion had the greatest density of bullets, that would be the logical location for putting an anti-bullet shield.

A mathematician named Abraham Wald said exactly the opposite; more protection is needed where the bullet holes aren't - that is -around the engines.

His judgement surprised everyone. 
He said *We are counting the planes that returned from a mission. Planes with lots of bullet holes in the engine did not return at all*.

*Debrief*

If you go to the recovery room at the hospital, you’ll see a lot more people with bullet holes in their legs than people with bullet holes in their chests. That’s not because people don’t get shot in the chest; it’s because the people who get shot in the chest don’t recover.

*Remember* the words of Einstein-
*Not everything that counts can be counted, and not everything that can be counted, counts*.

Source: From the book -
*How Not To Be Wrong*, by Jordan Ellenberg.

Count how Safe we are at Home.
*After relaxations of lockdown, remember our engines will be exposed*.